2021 World Pool Masters Predictions
Simulating the 2021 World Pool Masters using FargoRate and Other Probabilistic Models
The Dafabet 2021 World Pool Masters presented by Matchroom Pool is one of the most highly-anticipated 9-ball pool invitational events of the year. With $100,000 on the line, twenty-four of the world’s best will compete over 4 days with the likes of 2020 Mosconi Cup MVP Jayson Shaw, 2021 World Cup of Pool Champion Joshua Filler, and Predator Championship League Pool winner Albin Ouschan headlining the star-studded field.
With the event less than a week away and the tournament draw set in stone, everyone is wondering: Who’s leaving Gibraltar as 2021 World Pool Masters Champion? To find out, I simulated the results of the 2021 World Pool Masters 10,000 times using Steve Ernst and Michael Page’s well-known FargoRate along with my own BilliauRate, an Elo-based, probabilistic rating system created by myself, Sarah Lucioni, and Dasha Metropolitansky as undergraduate students at Harvard University.
This article briefly describes how these simulations work and the simulation results, complete with an interactive website that will allow you to explore the results yourself through a series of tables and visualizations.
